Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.116635 0.130024 0.143718 0.158733 0.174695 0.191120 0.209262
2024-10-13 0.099160 0.117729 0.137431 0.159760 0.184235 0.210125 0.239463
2024-10-20 0.085550 0.107564 0.131697 0.159835 0.191469 0.225681 0.265228
2024-10-27 0.073906 0.098207 0.125686 0.158564 0.196366 0.238037 0.287023
2024-11-03 0.065841 0.092076 0.122582 0.159922 0.203684 0.252700 0.311119
2024-11-10 0.060437 0.088518 0.121994 0.163782 0.213556 0.270049 0.338137
2024-11-17 0.053864 0.082888 0.118405 0.163640 0.218402 0.281367 0.358088
2024-11-24 0.049702 0.079916 0.117743 0.166752 0.226890 0.296781 0.382694
2024-12-01 0.045213 0.076110 0.115712 0.167910 0.232822 0.309048 0.403547
2024-12-08 0.040666 0.071832 0.112760 0.167648 0.236811 0.318856 0.421405
2024-12-15 0.037092 0.068597 0.110920 0.168586 0.242118 0.330134 0.440941
2024-12-22 0.033230 0.064621 0.107833 0.167699 0.244977 0.338332 0.456718
2024-12-29 0.030942 0.062892 0.107815 0.170936 0.253254 0.353451 0.481270
2025-01-05 0.028080 0.060048 0.106082 0.171778 0.258413 0.364727 0.501210
2025-01-12 0.025222 0.056949 0.103795 0.171727 0.262323 0.374404 0.519196
2025-01-19 0.022264 0.053399 0.100645 0.170326 0.264352 0.381655 0.534171
2025-01-26 0.020333 0.051380 0.099593 0.171706 0.269946 0.393339 0.554597
2025-02-02 0.019231 0.050693 0.100460 0.175718 0.279003 0.409404 0.580489
2025-02-09 0.017229 0.048198 0.098443 0.175558 0.282439 0.418308 0.597483
2025-02-16 0.016163 0.047321 0.098849 0.178802 0.290414 0.433000 0.621726
2025-02-23 0.014750 0.045636 0.097888 0.180008 0.295597 0.444103 0.641494
2025-03-02 0.013167 0.043432 0.095975 0.179732 0.298701 0.452495 0.657843
2025-03-09 0.011956 0.041846 0.094966 0.180711 0.303476 0.463026 0.676896